Tag Archive for: militarize space

Ted Cruz is Right About Space Piracy

On May 14, Texas Senator Ted Cruz made the mistake of using “space” and “pirates” in the same sentence, and the Twittersphere pounced. At first, media coverage of the story focused on Cruz’s supposed humiliation on Twitter. Then the story moved to Cruz’s criticism of Twitter highlighting his detractors on its platform, but not his responses. And then the makers and shapers of public opinion, from the lowliest tweeter to the top news anchors, found something else to pounce on. Just another week in 2019 America.

But the story should have focused on the substance of Cruz’s remarks. Here’s what Senator Cruz actually said:

“Since the ancient Greeks first put to sea, nations have recognized the necessity of naval forces and maintaining a superior capability to protect waterborne travel and commerce from bad actors. Pirates threaten the open seas, and the same is possible in space. In this same way, I believe we too must now recognize the necessity of a space force to defend the nation, and to protect space commerce and civil space exploration.”

It’s about time there was more public dialog about the security challenges presented by new space technologies. The rapidity with which these technologies have advanced over the past 30-40 years rivals that of chip technology, where capacity has doubled roughly ever two years. For example, in 1981, the ultra-modern reusable Space Shuttle brought the price to launch a kilogram into space down to $85,000. This enabled a global communications revolution as it was now cost-effective to launch satellites into orbit to relay and amplify radio telecommunications signals via an onboard transponder. That was nothing, however, compared to what was to come.

As launch costs continued to drop through the 1980s and 1990s, thousands of satellites were deployed, used not only for communications, but for remote sensing and navigation including GPS. Today, thanks to new commercial aerospace entrants like SpaceX, the cost to launch a kilogram into low earth orbit has fallen by a factor of nearly 100, to only $950 per kilogram. By 2040, NASA estimates the cost will drop by another order of magnitude, to “tens of dollars” per kilogram.

At the same time as the cost to get a payload into space has plummeted, the size of these payloads has also plummeted. It is possible now to launch satellites weighing a few pounds that can perform the functions that used to require satellites weighing several tons. Thanks to advances in miniaturization technology, small satellites are now classified as “mini,” between 100 and 500 kg, “micro,” between 10 and 100 kg, “nano,” between 1 and 10 kg, and even “pico,” with a mass (including fuel) of under one kilogram.

This revolution in cheaper launch costs combined with far more satellite capabilities per kilogram has just begun. According to the United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs, as of January 2019, 8,378 objects have been launched into space since the space age began in 1957, and 4,987 of them are still orbiting the earth. Over the last two years, 835 satellites have been launched; that is, ten percent of all the man made objects currently in space were sent there in just the last two years.

Now is a very good time to be talking about space piracy. Ten nations have now successfully launched satellites into orbit, including Iran (2009), and North Korea (2012). In recent years, Russia and China have both deployed advanced weapons systems in orbit, including a mobile laser system to destroy satellites in space, and Russia’s “space apparatus inspector.”

Physical threats to orbiting satellites isn’t the only sort of piracy we have to worry about. The availability of cheap high-power antennas makes satellites vulnerable to cyber attacks, such as eavesdropping, allowing cyber intruders to hear classified communications and even learn the location of the transmitters and receivers. Hackers may be able to hijack the operations of satellites, destroying their optical sensors or their batteries. It is even possible that hackers could turn communications satellites into microwave weapons, or into platforms to send viruses into ground based receivers.

Nobody laughs anymore when we discuss software piracy. Today, anyone with a high-power antenna can be a space pirate. The threats to our security in space now come from nations, terrorist organizations, and individuals. According to General Jay Raymond, head of Air Force Space Command, “space is a warfighting domain.”

Within our lifetimes, space industrialization will be a reality. And instead of protecting ships carrying spices from Indonesia to Europe, we will be protecting cargos carrying precious minerals from the spice islands of interplanetary space. If fusion reactors aren’t perfected first, within 50 years or less, we will also need to protect massive and very fragile satellite solar power stations as they beam terawatts of perpetual clean energy to receivers on earth.

Will America’s legacy in space be analogous to Spain’s humiliation on the high seas four hundred years ago, when “pirates” commissioned by the Queen of England plundered the treasure of the galleons on the Spanish Main? Or will we step up, honoring our heritage as pioneers, and lead humanity’s charge into outer space? The high frontier of space is more accessible than ever, and protecting our assets in space is more critical than ever. Concerns about “piracy” should spark serious discussion, not ridicule.

This article originally appeared on the website American Greatness.

 *   *   *

America’s High Frontier

On May 25, 1961, in a speech before Congress, President John F. Kennedy announced the goal of sending an American to the moon and back before the end of the decade. Eight years, one month, and twenty-five days later, on July 20, 1969, American astronaut Neal Armstrong set foot on the lunar surface, joined a few moments later by Buzz Aldrin.

To fully appreciate how much the Americans accomplished in just over eight years, consider the situation in mid-1961. On April 12th, the Russians had embarrassed the U.S. by blasting cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin into space. And while American astronaut Alan Shepard followed Gagarin into space a few weeks later on May 5th, his mission was only a 15 minute suborbital flight. Gagarin’s flight lasted 108 minutes and completed a full orbit around the planet. We were way behind.

Moreover, compared to what eventually became the Apollo lunar spacecraft, these early forays into space were extremely primitive. Basically the entire Mercury program, designed to achieve spaceflight in low earth orbit while keeping an astronaut on board, consisted of putting an aerodynamic pressure vessel atop a souped-up intercontinental ballistic missile. By contrast, the many modules and maneuvers required to safely deliver three astronauts to the moon and back, was orders of magnitude more complex. Yet America made all that progress in just over eight years.

Back in 1969, if you told anyone that nobody would return to the moon for another fifty years, they would have laughed. The nation had high expectations for the high frontier. But while progress in manned spaceflight since Apollo has been impressive, it’s been slow. Skylab was launched, using left over Apollo boosters, in 1973, tumbling back to earth in 1979. In 1981, the first of five space shuttles were launched. After 135 missions, including two ending in catastrophe, the last shuttle flight took place in 2011. Since 1998 the U.S. has been a partner in the International Space Station, but for the last eight years our astronauts have been getting there and back on Russian rockets.

The Case for Aggressive Spending on Space Development

Back in the days of the Apollo program, there was no budget request that was denied. It was a top priority of the federal government, and through setbacks including the deadly capsule fire during a test in 1967 that killed three astronauts, the spending never slackened and the commitment never wavered. Was it worth it?

By nearly all accounts, yes. To build a craft capable of leaving earth, delivering humans to the moon, then getting them home again, within eight years, is probably the greatest human engineering achievement of all time. An excellent summary of the most significant spin-offs coming out of the Apollo program is a Computer World article from 2009, which focuses on the IT advances. We have the Apollo project to thank for the integrated circuit, dramatic advances in rocketry, “remarkable discoveries in civil, electrical, aeronautical and engineering science,” complex software, lightweight and incredibly durable composite materials, and, for a few specifics – everything from CAT scanners to liquid cooled garments to freeze dried food.

Needless to say, all these innovations would have eventually been made, with or without Apollo. But they would have been made years later, and quite likely by some other nation. The technological spin-offs that would accrue to a new 21st century national endeavor pursued with the fervor of the Apollo program would help America immeasurably in its possibly existential race to stay technologically ahead of powerful rising nations, China in particular.

The Military Urgency of Space Development

In 1984, during the heyday of President Reagan’s promotion of a Strategic Defense Initiative (“Star Wars”), James Oberg, writing for Omni Magazine, published an article entitled “Pearl Harbor in Space.” He explained how a single enemy spacecraft, launched from earth around the moon to slingshot back to earth in order to achieve a retrograde orbit (counter to earth’s rotation), could in a few days destroy every geosynchronous satellite.

A killer satellite in a retrograde orbit, would circle towards what are now hundreds of geosynchronous satellites stationed at 22,300 miles above the earth – which is the only orbital altitude at which they remain positioned perfectly stationary, moving at the same exact orbital speed as the earth – like “a car hurtling the wrong way on a superhighway.” Because the cross section of the geosynchronous great circle is only about 100 kilometers, a killer satellite in retrograde orbit could easily identify and destroy everything in its path, one by one, using optical or radar guided missiles, or maneuverable kinetic energy “brilliant pebbles,” or a laser, or a particle beam, or an electromagnetic pulse. Within days, communications across the planet would be crippled.

This is just one vulnerability that national space defense has to counter. China and Russia have already tested ground based and airplane hosted weapons to take out America’s other layer of space based communications and surveillance satellites in low earth orbit. The impact of one major EMP burst over the North American continent would likely fry what remained of land based communications assets. In all three instances, space based military defense is the only countermeasure.

A recent American Greatness article by Angelo Codevilla further explains the urgency of creating an American Space Force. He mentions protecting our satellites, and for defense against ballistic missiles. He correctly emphasizes that space is the new high ground in warfare, and that “we are not seeking it even as China and Russia reach for it.”

Codevilla also notes that “for a variety of tactical reasons, their needs for satellite protection are not as great as ours.” One of these tactical reasons bears note: the U.S. is a maritime power. Our vital national interests are served by maintaining open sea lanes and air traffic corridors across the planet. Russia and China, by contrast, are land based powers, between them controlling most of the Asian continent, with interior land lines for control and logistics.

Establishing military supremacy in space should be an explicit goal of the United States, but this effort, which has hopefully been ongoing for decades via classified programs, can be furthered by a new wave of exploration and commercialization.

Other Reasons for Space Development

Where NASA has faltered, private concerns have stepped up. Entrepreneurial billionaires are racing to bring tourism and commercial development into outer space. Richard Branson has founded Virgin Galactic, building a spaceport in New Mexico and expecting to operate private space tourism flights “within the next few years.” Jeff Bezos has founded Blue Origin, for purposes of space tourism as well as build rockets to launch cargo into orbit. Most ambitious of all, Elon Musk has founded SpaceX, which after operating for several years has just successfully tested the Falcon Heavy, capable of launching 63,800 kilograms into low earth orbit. The Falcon Heavy’s payload capacity is more than twice that of any active rocket, yet is less than half what the Apollo Saturn V could lift into orbit, 140,000 kilograms. While today’s rockets are mostly reusable and far more sophisticated, when it comes to raw lifting capacity, we still have a long way to go, just to get to where we were.

Space tourism, space exploration, and space colonization are reason enough for America to expand operations in space, but there’s much more. With the cost to place a kilogram into low earth orbit down to $5,000, compared to $30,000/kg during the Space Shuttle era, many types of zero gravity manufacturing are being tested. Among the mind-boggling new possibilities are using 3D cellular printers to build replacement human hearts and other organs. Another zero gravity innovation is cost-effective production of exotic fiber optic cable that is extremely difficult to manufacture on earth. In zero-gravity environments gallium-arsenide semiconductors can be built, or grown, in layers one atom thick, with no distortions, yielding solar power at efficiencies that could be as high as 60 percent. Zero-gravity combined with high temperature smelting available on demand using solar thermal collectors makes high-quality metallurgy feasible in outer space.

It may also be possible to generate solar electricity in orbit and beam the power to receivers on earth, potentially delivering inexhaustible clean energy. With the advances in robotics and AI, along with steadily decreasing costs to deliver payloads into orbit, it is likely that by the end of this century an entire self-sustaining economy will be in space, much of it automated, mining the moon and asteroids for materials, and constructing manufacturing facilities and power stations to create great wealth.

The Synergies of Commercial and Military Initiatives in Space

The high ground of space will eventually render most conventional military assets obsolete. Weaponized satellites in orbits with perigees as low as 125 miles will be able to release swarms of robotic, intelligent drones, or brilliant pebbles, or fire lasers or particle beams. Ships, planes, and land based weapons systems including missiles, will be no match for a military that controls space.

Not only will military assets in space protect national interests on earth, but they will be increasingly necessary to protect national interests in space. The commercialization of space to the point where it becomes an economic engine of vital benefit to the earth-bound economy is not a question of if, but when. It could happen within a few decades.

America needs a bold vision for space that incorporates exploration, industrialization, and militarization. The cross-pollination of technologies developed in each of these three areas will catalyze development in the others. The technological spin-offs will more than rival those of the Apollo project. Satellite solar power stations. Orbiting industrial parks. A moon base. A Mars expedition. And a Space Force. We need to do it all, ASAP.

Or someone else will.

This article originally appeared on the website American Greatness.

 *   *   *